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Johnny Tan: Britain’s net zero target must not ignore imported emissions

By Centre Write, Energy & Environment

Greta Thunberg recently castigated Parliament for hiding behind “very creative carbon accounting”, in order to fulfil its climate goals. By failing to account for imported emissions, Britain, along with other developed countries, is effectively ‘outsourcing’ its emissions. Official government statistics report that as of 2016, Britain produced about 373 million tonnes of carbon dioxide. However, according to the Global Carbon Project, calculated from a consumption perspective, Britain consumes about 40% more carbon emissions than it produces. 

As such, domestic targets which focus on production are insufficient as they fail to account for cross-border emissions. For example, the 82 million tonnes of imported emissions from China do not count as “British”. As Professor McLaren of Lancaster University argues, this parochial focus on net-zero could result in delayed emissions cuts and an insufficient focus on developing negative emissions technologies. How then should Britain respond?

First, Britain needs to take full responsibility for all of its emissions, not just emissions that occur within its borders. This requires a shift towards the inclusion of consumption-based emissions figures in national statistics. The process of adopting consumption-based emissions is already well underway in many cities and states, most notably Oregon which published a state-wide consumption-based report in 2015. 

Second, Britain should use trade deals as a tool to encourage exporting countries to reduce emissions. New Zealand’s Prime Minister Jacinda Ardern, for example, has emphasised the ability to embed environmental principles in trade negotiations. One need only look to America’s trade deals which (though ignored by the Trump administration) penalise countries that fail to adhere to the Paris Climate Accord. As Glen Peters of the Centre for International Climate Research in Norway suggests, including data on cross-border emissions into negotiations could help “facilitate a more robust agreement.” 

Trade deals, as part of greater cooperation between countries on climate issues, should also facilitate the exchange of cleaner production practices and resources, be it carbon-capture or renewable energy technology. One area which could greatly benefit from such collaboration is freight transport. Transferring goods via aviation (when comparing similar weights and distances) releases far more emissions in comparison to shipping and has few affordable low-carbon alternatives.

Lastly, it is necessary to discern where the imported goods come from. The same products, depending on how energy-efficient production is, can release different levels of emissions. Data from the Global Trade Analysis Project highlights how cars and car parts imported from China release far more carbon dioxide than those exported by Germany. Sweden releases about 50% fewer emissions than coal-reliant Poland in the production of car batteries. It is pivotal that Britain is aware of such discrepancies, and takes proactive steps to correct them, perhaps through the rearrangement of supply chains and trade partners. 

Looking at how swiftly trade routes have been realigned in response to the trade war between the USA and China, this along with the use of trade deals to encourage a global shift towards cleaner production should render the task entirely feasible. In the short term, given the large amount of emissions imported from China (as mentioned above), especially with regards to car parts and electronics, it would be wise for the UK to look towards more environmentally-friendly countries such as Sweden. The goal in the long term should be to catalyse the international shift towards environmentally-friendly sources of energy such that the provenance of the good is no longer an issue.

Britain deserves credit for her initiative in tackling climate change. Yet outsourcing emissions only serves to further compound the problem, shifting most of the blame onto developing countries that rely heavily on exports. In attempting to measure and negate emissions, Britain’s net-zero law, however admirable, looks destined to fall short.

Johnny Tan is undertaking work experience with Bright Blue. The views expressed in this article are those of the author, and not necessarily those of Bright Blue.

Loïc Fremond: London must build smarter as well as more

By Centre Write, Energy & Environment, Housing & Homelessness, Towns & Devolution

London has been in the midst of an acute housing crisis for some time now. One has only to consult recent figures to grasp the situation. The housing market in the nation’s capital is amongst the most inaccessible in the world. While rents have surged over the last decade and home ownership has become increasingly unfeasible, the number of rough sleepers has hit record levels. The pressure this places on residents is considerable – the pressure this places on the environment is untenable.

And yet, there are a surprisingly large number of calls for the government to deregulate and build on the Green Belt. Not only is this unsustainable, but it falls into the same trap as previous solutions.

However, we can use this opportunity to improve our city, through building greener and in a denser, more consolidated way.

The housing crisis is symptomatic of a deeper problem that has been festering for some time. Simply put, the supply of housing has not kept up with increasing demand. Between 1991 and 2016, London’s population grew from 6.4 million to 8.8 million, an increase of 2.4 million. Over this same period, only 720,000 new homes were registered, according to the Mayor of London census.

The effects have been tangible. In 1991, the average cost of buying a property in London was £162,000 (adjusted for inflation). In 2016, that average rose to £489,000, an increase of 202%. That same year, private renters exceeded the number of property owners living in London for the first time in over a decade.

Consequently, for many, the dream of owning a home to call their own in London is unattainable, property values pushing them further afield in the pursuit of getting more bang for their buck;  for some, crushing rents mean living in Housing Cost Induced Poverty, unable to save or even to move. For an ever growing number of people, losing their job means running the risk of becoming a rough sleeper.

With the city’s population projected to grow an estimated 8.8% by 2026 and the number of new units still painfully lagging the rate of population growth, the problem will only intensify.

The issue is complex and has multiple causes. But if the cause is complex, then so too is the effect. Experts rightly seek to measure the economic and social costs to the individual, to the government, and to the economy as a whole. And it is certainly right for them to be asking how this situation came to be, holding local government to account for pandering to the politics of homeowners to the detriment of home buyers.

Yet, this extensive patchwork of analysis fails to factor in the environmental cost. In a mega-city like London, any major effort to solve the housing crisis is, by definition, an environmental issue as well. Where we build our housing and the quality of it is telling of how we view our local environment. It has significant impact on land usage, vehicle emissions, air quality, and our overall carbon footprint. Unlike our European counterparts who focused on increasing urban density, post-WWII housing policy has focused on urban sprawl. We have built terraced developments on low-cost rural land, forcing people further and further out. The outcome is a value cost to our local environment, our air quality, and our health, as well as an opportunity cost to millions of people.

The best way for London to solve its housing crisis and mitigate its environmental impact is to build high density, high quality homes that are designed to be eco-friendly and sustainable. With higher density, we allow people to live near high frequency transit or near their workplace, and incentivise increased pedestrianisation. Less land is used up, achieving both greenfield preservation and reducing the number of vehicles on the road.

There is no doubt that the climate crisis presents a challenge to all of us, and will require a comprehensive approach to resolve it. But by embedding sustainable practices in our housing and city design, it is possible to improve standards for everyone

Loïc Fremond is undertaking work experience with Bright Blue, and is currently reading Classical Archaeology & Civilisations at University College London. The views expressed in this article are those of the author, and not necessarily those of Bright Blue.

Georgia Hardisty: Tackling food waste at the point of production

By Centre Write, Energy & Environment

Food wastage, that is food lost by deterioration or discard, has both a financial and social cost, not to mention its contribution to global hunger. To emphasise the sheer magnitude of this issue, the FAO (2013) found that 1.4 billion hectares of the land used to grow food was wasted in 2007. This figure equates to an area larger than China or Canada, and only superseded by the size of Russia. Given this shameful figure, one might be surprised to know that many governments have, in fact, generated policies and legislation to improve food waste management, such as the avoidance of landfill. Whether or not they’ve been well-executed is another question entirely. Beyond legislation, another key part of the food waste equation has been rather neglected – pre-waste solutions in the private sector.

Generally, society places, perhaps too much, onus on the individual to limit food waste and reduce their use of plastic. What we should be doing instead is transferring some of this responsibility onto large food retailers, such as Sainsbury’s, Tesco, Asada, and Morrisons. The reason being that they have direct links with consumers, farmers and processes, meaning they can influence most levels of the supply chain.

When food processors directly deal with big retailers through various contracts and agreements, they tend to impose strict conditions for deliveries and returning unsold products, which severely hinders food waste prevention. For example, when suppliers agree to deliver orders in a short-period of time, they often overstock to avoid penalties, which sometimes results in food waste. Furthermore, big retailers also require 70% of its shelf-life remaining for the products to be accepted, as stated in Mena, Adenso-Diaz & Yurt’s (2010) paper. This issue becomes particularly difficult for producers to navigate, especially for those with limited access to alternative channels to sell their stock, or if the products are sold under the retailers’ “own-brand” labels. With the latter issue, tolerance for slip-ups is small, as unsold products are unable to be directed.

Another key, and perhaps more concerning cause, is that some supermarkets now set cosmetic standards for their fruit and vegetables, as if the beauty industry’s standards for women wasn’t already enough. These requirements cause retailers to reject moderately imperfect-looking food. Interestingly, in an academic paper entitled European Retailers as Agents of Change Towards sustainability: The Case of Fruit Production in BrazilBritish retailers were named the primary culprits of setting these senseless aesthetics of fruit and vegetables in Europe, making perfectly edible produce unsellable.

So, yes, we have established that food retailers are instruments of change in the transition towards sustainable production methods. But, what strategies can food retailers actually employ to reduce food waste without compromising the safety of consumers. Below, I offer some recommendations for retailers to tackle this issue:

  1. Improve inventory management processes to decrease excess inventory and handling. In the U.S, Whole Foods and Targetadopted software, where they input the store-layout, and request that deliveries are stacked according to this sequencing.
  2. Increase communication and transparency between farmers and food processors, which may include, but not limited to enforcing a stricter time period for retailers to either amend or cancel an order.
  3. Sell “ugly” fruit and vegetables at a discount in-store (Asda and Morrisons are currently trailing this idea), donate surplus edible food to charity (e.g., Food CycleFare ShareNeighbourlyWRAP UK), or business-to-business transfer of excess food.
  4. Decrease or eliminate deals for consumers to discourage the excessive consumption of food (e.g., buy one get one free).
  5. Amend overly strict, and sometimes misleading product labelling. Consumers often misconstrue “best by” dates for expiration dates, causing people to throw away products prematurely. In most cases, labelling is up to the large food retailers, and are not standardised or regulated by an independent body. Kor, Prabhu & Esposito (2017) suggest that retailers should urge manufacturers to replace “best by” with “best if used by”.

Ultimately, reducing food waste is neither in the hands of the retailer or consumer. Instead, it requires a collaborative approach across the business supply chain, which spans across retailers, farmers, consumers, technology, social enterprises and food processors.

Georgia Hardisty is currently undertaking work experience at Bright Blue. The views expressed in this article are those of the author, not necessarily those of Bright Blue.

William Nicolle: The new PM could improve on the Common Fisheries Policy by creating a market-based system for fishing quotas.

By Centre Write, Energy & Environment

In his first trip to Scotland, the country that lands 61% of the UK’s total fishing catch by weight, the new PM promised flushed with rhetoric of “taking back control” of our national waters – that UK fishing was off the table in any future UK-EU trade deals. 

Yet, the new Government has of yet not made any substantive policy announcements as to what post-Brexit fisheries policy will be. In contrast, the former Government published a Fisheries White Paper to set out their vision for “sustainable fisheries for future generations”, included the goal of making sure all fish stocks will be recovered to healthy levels in the 25 Year Environment Plan, and initiated a Fisheries Bill that was until very recently making its way through Parliament. 

The new PM therefore needs to establish the current Government’s thinking on fisheries as the UK exits the Common Fisheries Policy (CFP), the EU’s framework for managing common EU fishing waters and stocks. Indeed, this is especially pertinent with the recent proroguing of parliament halting the progress of the Fisheries Bill. 

Under the CFP, fishing quotas, known as ‘total allowable catches’ (TACs), are set annually at an EU level. They are required to comply with the CFP’s principal of fishing only at levels where fish stocks can sustainably recover by 2020 – a level known as the maximum sustainable yield (MSY). Notably, for TACs set between 2001 and 2017, it has been shown that 70% of TACs set by the EU were unsustainable as they were set above scientific advice for the MSY level. 

Once quotas are decided on an EU level, they are allocated to member states based on ‘relative stability’, which takes into account several factors such as historical catch data and the need of coastal communities dependent on fisheries. 

In the UK, the responsibility over TACs amongst national fishing fleets is devolved. Scotland receives the majority of UK TACs, landing over half the fish caught by UK vessels by both total weight and total value.

One of the most notorious issues that the CFP encounters is that of ‘bycatch’ – the landing of species by a boat that are protected in some way. Vessels will often throw away fish they do not have a quota for to be able to continue fishing. The CFP attempts to regulate this through a ‘landing obligation’, that from the start of this year requires boats to land all fish caught that have a quota placed on them. 

Whilst outlawing the wasteful practice of discarding bycatch, the ‘landing obligation’ is a blunt instrument because vessels can use up their fishing quotas through unintentionally landing certain fish, and be prevented from further fishing. This is a particular problem for mixed fisheries that land multiple species of fish, meaning quotas can quickly be used up.  

Brexit is not all doom and gloom: it provides an opportunity to change the problems with the CFP.

Specifically in relation to the issues generated by fishing quotas, the new PM could capitalise on Brexit through developing a market-based scheme for managing quotas, as is done in Iceland.

Market-based schemes are, with the right policies and incentives, often an efficient way of achieving environmental aims. 

Indeed, the former Government was pursuing a similar scheme through its Agriculture Bill, which intended to replace the Common Agricultural Policy’s (CAP) system of distributing rural payments based on the amount of land owned with a scheme that linked subsidies to the amount of ecosystem services provided – as recommended by past Bright Blue research.

Allowing fishing quotas to be traded amongst fishing vessels would have two major benefits when compared to the CFP. 

First, it would provide vessels with more flexibility. Creating a supply of quotas, that can be bought or sold, allows vessels to continue fishing through buying more of a quota even if bycatch is caught accidentally. As quotas become scarcer, their price would reflect this. This gets around the stubborn effect of the landing obligation that closes fisheries if a quota is exceeded.  

Second, certain policies can be built into a market-based scheme to encourage more sustainable fishing, such as incentives to use more selective fishing gear

Importantly, other issues would still need addressing, such as questions over the extent of and access to UK waters, and how to distribute existing quotas. Yet a market-based scheme allows more flexibility to manage quotas with the fact it is difficult to completely avoid bycatching certain species of fish. 

In developing post-Brexit fisheries policy, the new PM would do well to reform the cumbersome aspects of the CFP. A market-based scheme for quotas is a sensible place to start.

William Nicolle is a Researcher at Bright Blue. Image licensed under the Open Government Licence v1.0.

Patrick Hall: The new PM should bolster support for Nature Recovery Networks and prioritise their creation

By Centre Write, Energy & Environment, Patrick Hall

As the PM prepared to attend the G7 leaders’ summit in August, he reaffirmed his commitment to biodiversity. One of the policy tools Johnson has for encouraging greater biodiversity in the UK is Nature Recovery Networks (NRNs). 

Currently, protected habitats and ecosystems across the UK exist in isolation from one another. NRNs identify where these habitats and ecosystems are located, then link them via ‘eco-corridors’. The aim is that just like the road network, all ecosystems will be linked together through a NRN. 

For example, waterways could be fenced off from livestock to allow fauna to reestablish itself along the riverbank. These waterways would then form eco-corridors as part of the NRN. Motorway wildlife crossings are another example of how an NRN can operate; they remove motorways as a barrier between ecosystems. 

Climate change and its associated effects – rising temperatures, changing precipitation patterns and more extreme weather events – can result in changes to habitats and ecosystems that no longer make them habitable for wildlife. Adaptation to climate change is a critical part of maintaining biodiversity. By allowing wildlife to relocate, NRNs are one way to facilitate this. From crab crossing bridges over roads in Australia, to one of the Netherlands’ 600 motorway animal crossing tunnels, examples of infrastructure that make up NRNs can be seen worldwide. 

‘Greenifying’ urban areas, allowing amenity grassland to return to meadows, restoring fauna, and afforestation also have roles to play within an NRN. One of the notable benefits these strategies bring is carbon sequestration – the process by which carbon dioxide is captured and stored by plants, removing from it the atmosphere. In light of the government’s commitment to net zero emissions by 2050, any initiative that would contribute to this is worthy of consideration. 

Reduced flooding is another benefit that comes with NRNs. As the landscape becomes more diverse through NRNs’ protected ecosystems and rewilding, trees and peat bogs which make up wetlands will become more prevalent. Together, they stabilise the ground and hold more water than, say, closely grazed grassland would. Reduced risk of flooding comes as a consequence of this. Given that one in six UK properties are at significant risk of flooding, and the annual cost to the country sits at £4.4 billion, NRNs would aid in addressing one of the UK’s more costly environmental challenges.

Bedfordshire, Cambridgeshire and Northamptonshire are already using Nature Recovery Networks as part of their development planning. However, to truly benefit from NRNs, they should become part of a nation-wide strategy.  

The idea of establishing Nature Recovery Networks at a national level is not a new one. Indeed, the Government has expressed that it intends to develop a Nature Recovery Network as part of its 25-year environment plan. They have stated that 500,000 hectares will be set aside for this. However, there has been no mention of how much funding an NRN would receive, yet alone a timeframe for its delivery. 

Greater biodiversity, climate adaptation, carbon reduction, and less flooding are just some of the benefits that would come from nation-wide NRNs. The government has so far paid only lip-service to the idea of establishing NRNs across the UK. Given the clear benefits of NRNs, the PM should bolster support for this initiative and ensure that they are established sooner rather than later.

Patrick Hall is a Researcher at Bright Blue. Image licensed under the Open Government Licence v1.0.

Megan Trethewey: Wind power is the new PM’s most effective path to net zero

By Centre Write, Energy & Environment

During our new Prime Minister’s first outing in Parliament, he recommitted himself to meeting the UK’s ambitious net zero target, stating that his Government would “place the climate change agenda at the absolute core of what we are doing.” Getting to net zero will be no easy task, but it is vital that we reach it, and this Prime Minister knows that. One of the first and easiest things he can do to get there is to bring back onshore wind.

Onshore wind is the cheapest form of electricity generation – it could cost as little as £45/MWh. Building the onshore wind the Committee on Climate Change (CCC) recommends we need for the lowest-cost route to net zero could even support 31,000 jobs by 2035, and save every household £50 a year on their energy bills. However, at present, onshore wind is kept from competing in Contract for Difference (CfD) auctions, which offer renewable projects a guaranteed price for their electricity. 

This de-risking process is important, as it provides greater investor certainty that lowers capital costs, in turn enabling onshore wind sites to produce energy at subsidy-free prices. Furthermore, because CfD auctions embed market competition for this Government subsidy, we only award them to the cheapest competitors in the race. If we want to boost our renewable capacity, then we should be doing so in the cheapest way we know how.

In 2015, the Conservative manifesto pledged to “end any new public subsidy” for onshore wind, after calls from Conservative MPs whose constituents were concerned about bankrolling the spread of onshore wind into their backyards. These towering structures are not exactly discreet, but I, like a growing number of people, don’t mind them. I see them as a symbol of our innovative economy, contributing to our world-leading record on decarbonisation whilst providing affordable energy.

In fact, most people agree. The Conservative Environment Network’s polling showed that 74% of Conservatives support onshore wind. This is now a popular technology, and we are in a different world than the one in 2015. A new net zero world, with a new Prime Minister. If we listened to the public’s concerns about onshore wind back then, then surely we should listen to them now they want it back.

Only recently, 150 MPs wrote to the Prime Minister calling for the barriers to onshore wind farms to be lifted, including six Conservatives who had previously written to David Cameron asking for the same barriers to be implemented. Only 6% of people oppose onshore wind developments, and it’s important that these projects are never forced on communities. Opening up the CfD process does not mean undermining local consent; it empowers communities with greater choice over what projects they want to see in their area, by ensuring that onshore wind can compete. That choice has been denied by the policies in place at present.

Lastly, it’s hard to talk up wind energy and ignore the recent blackout, with the news that it was likely caused by a lightning strike and associated technical faults at an offshore wind farm and a small gas-fired station. At the time of the fault, wind power was providing over 30% of demand, an impressive amount now, but likely to be far higher in the next decade. However, National Grid have been clear that the blackout was not due to renewables, their variability or their generation that day. 

We should investigate what caused this fault, and rectify it, but it should not halt our progress, or scare a nation of innovators away from pursuing the future energy system that is good for our planet and for consumer bills too. That future system is decentralised, smart, responsive, and full of wind (hopefully onshore and offshore), batteries, solar and other forms of renewable tech too. The UK continues to have one of the most reliable and fastest decarbonising grids in the world, and I’m sure that National Grid will take up any lessons to be learnt from this in order to keep building on that record to reach net zero.

There are many things the Prime Minister can do to tackle climate change – he has already acknowledged many of them, not least investing in innovative battery technology. But there is an easy win in bringing back onshore wind. It’s cheap, it’s popular, and it can contribute towards meeting our ambitious climate targets. That’s why the Prime Minister should bring back onshore wind.

Megan Trethewey is Senior Programmes Manager at the Conservative Environment Network. The views expressed in this article are those of the author, not necessarily those of Bright Blue. Image licensed under the Open Government Licence v1.0.