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Towns & Devolution

Nicola Yates: Cities of the future

By Centre Write, Data & Tech, Towns & Devolution

Cities are shaped by complex, often competing, local, national and global forces. That makes it hard for place leaders, both public and private, to accurately predict and plan for the forces that shape our streets, towns and cities – especially when trying to look further ahead than a few years. Successful future cities will therefore be characterised by adaptability. Luckily, the very forces driving the transformation of our cities and towns also offer the tools needed to enable such adaptability.

From the winding pedestrian lanes of Brighton, conceived by people who never imagined the need to make space for ‘horseless carriages’, to the planners behind the likes of Swindon and Milton Keynes, who could think of little else, developers and planning officers are often making decisions about tomorrow based on today’s ideas. Of course, the best planners and developers do consider the future, but in doing so they face an uphill struggle. In a rapidly changing world, anyone making decisions about something as complex as a city must channel their inner mystic when developing and evaluating plans – considering not just one set of trends, but a complex interplay of different possible futures that intersect and overlap.

At the Connected Places Catapult, the UK government-backed centre of excellence for innovation in mobility and the built environment, we see four key technology-enabled trends which are shaping towns and cities by redefining our collective relationship with the built environment, the economy and each other.

The first of these trends, ‘Space-as-a-Service’, has emerged from the recent shift in the way the commercial real estate industry provides products and services to tenants, transforming their role from rent collectors to service providers. In short, it is the change from accessing space through ownership or long-term rent, to a model where space is something we can access when and where we want. This trend can be seen across UK cities, from Box Park’s ‘meanwhile use’ retail centres to WeWork’s co-working spaces, The Collective’s co-living spaces and peer-to-peer home sharing platforms like AirBnB. These businesses represent a distinct shift towards the agile optimisation of space and services within cities.

Moving on to the theme of augmented and navigable space, the emergence of services like Google Lens and Google Map Augmented Reality (AR) means our experience of the world around us is increasingly mediated through digital filters, adding a new layer of information to our everyday lives. With the rollout of ‘smart street furniture’ like BT’s InLink UK pods, which serve advertisements and hyperlocal content tailored to individual passers-by, soon everyone will have a city experience unique to themselves. Just as we are using tech to find our way through the city, it is tracking our movement as well – generating valuable new data, but also raising questions about individual privacy and public trust.

Which brings us to predictable behaviour – a trend grounded in the ever-growing bank of data about how people, vehicles and goods move through cities, and the increasingly intelligent algorithms which can sift valuable insights from that data. Such analysis allows for complex urban modelling and more accurate insights into how cities function today and how they might work tomorrow. Since 2007, Google has provided live traffic information in its wayfinding apps to help users avoid congested areas of the city in real-time. This year, CrimeRadar launched in Rio de Janeiro in Brazil, using machine-learning to predict where and when crime is likely to occur. Drawing on five years of crime data and 14 million crimes provided by the state police, every part of the city is now rated. Meanwhile, academics at University College London and the Centric Lab are looking at how cutting edge neuroscience data can be integrated to models to improve the fidelity of behavioural predictions still further.

Advances in data analysis and monitoring are not limited to things that move. They are also being applied to the built environment itself to create intelligent infrastructure. From sensors threaded throughout the London Underground which enable predictive maintenance and reduced management costs, to the proliferation of smart metres which will enable more dynamic energy networks (‘smart grids’), infrastructure and the services they support are becoming more responsive and resilient.

For both city managers and private developers, staying ahead of the innovation curve is as essential as it is challenging. Places that plan for and harness innovative connected places technologies are likely to reap benefits in terms of economic productivity, prosperity and citizen satisfaction, while those which fail to adapt to the changing world may fall behind.

To ensure that more places enjoy the fruits of innovation, the Connected Places Catapult is working with place leaders and private firms across the UK to support local authorities engage the market with confidence, and with the private sector to help firms develop and demonstrate solutions to the pressing needs of buyers. In particular, we have been working with planning authorities and developers to catalyse an urgent upgrade in the UK’s planning sector. This ‘PlanTech’ revolution has seen firms large and small applying data analysis, augmented reality, machine learning and a range of other digital technologies to bring land use and transport planning into the twenty-first century, reducing risk and therefore cost for developers, driving efficiency in planning services and delivering transparency for the public. With our help, many of these once futuristic products are on the market today to help place leaders make smarter choices that will stand the test of time.

Looking ahead, the next level of innovation will see whole infrastructure systems and the places they support reproduced in the form of ‘digital twins’ – incredibly sophisticated virtual models which can be used to test proposed changes before making costly interventions in the real world. Combining dynamic data about fixed assets like buildings, transport infrastructure and utilities networks with real time and modelled data about the movement of people and goods through the space, these digital twins will be an essential tool for city managers of the future.

Nicola Yates OBE is the CEO of Connected Places Catapult. This article first appeared in our Centre Write magazine On the home front. Views expressed in this article are those of the author, not necessarily those of Bright Blue. 

Vidhya Alakeson: Power to the people

By Centre Write, Towns & Devolution

In recent years, a series of high-profile closures has put the decline of the high street firmly in the headlines. The travails of household names like Debenhams, House of Fraser, Toys R Us, Mothercare, and many more have sparked renewed interest in what can be done to turnaround fortunes on the high street, as one in ten shops remains vacant.

Much of the focus has been on the thorny issue of business rates, with more than 50 of Britain’s largest retailers calling for fundamental reform of the system this summer. Clearly, there are big problems with the way the business rates system works – not least the fact that increasingly cash-strapped local authorities now greatly rely on business rates income, meaning any reform would also have to address issues around local government financing. But more significantly, focusing on rates assumes that the problem we are trying to fix is retail.

We cannot unwind patterns of online retail and consumer preferences for more locally grounded, independent services and experiences. We have to move to a new model in which high streets are places for us to congregate, to interact and to live our lives – places of entrepreneurialism, business and trading, yes – but also places of citizenship, not just commerce. Central to the emergence of this new model is a simple idea: that communities themselves are best placed to rebuild their high streets.

Our work at Power to Change in support of community businesses has highlighted the raw economic value of communities taking the lead. Community businesses can grow the local economy from within, harnessing the entrepreneurial talents of local people to revitalise the high street. In areas of significant disadvantage and dereliction, a community-led approach can create a much needed economic turnaround in the absence of significant interest from private developers and commercial businesses. Our new research estimates that there are at least 6,300 community-owned buildings and green spaces, including a significant number on the high street. Together, they contribute £220 million to UK Gross Value Added. And by employing local people and using other local businesses in their supply chains, 56p of every £1 they spend stays in the local economy.

There are hundreds of examples of community businesses and other types of community organisation bringing new energy and vitality to high streets and town centres. In the White Rock area of Hastings, a group of community-led organisations have between them taken ownership of seven derelict properties over the last five years. One, Rock House, has already been successfully brought back into use as a vibrant and financially viable hub combining a community kitchen, work space, community meeting space and affordable housing. The rest will be reimagined over the next few years to meet the needs of local people, working in partnership with local independent businesses in the White Rock area to create mutual benefit.

And in Anfield, Homebaked – a community-led bakery and community land trust – now owns the entire derelict terrace on which the bakery is based and are redeveloping it as a mix of commercial space, affordable homes and workspaces. Down the same street, Kitty’s Laundrette has recently opened, combining affordable, environmentally-friendly laundry facilities with a space for community activities. Working together, Kitty’s and Homebaked plan to regenerate the whole street which lies between them.

However, a number of barriers get in the way. Rents remain stubbornly high, even where there are large numbers of vacant units, locking out community businesses and other locally-minded organisations which might restore a sense of local pride and identity to a place. This would be less of a problem if communities were more often owners on the high street, but opaque and fragmented ownership, coupled with financial barriers, makes it a challenge for communities to shape their own high streets. Finally, current approaches to local economic priority setting means that community organisations do not have an equal voice at the planning table. They are consulted but are not decision-makers with real influence to shape how the high street evolves.

To ensure that communities can play their part, we need to make it easier for communities to become owners and influencers on the high streets.

To begin with, there are a number of changes that could be made to local economic planning, such as including community representatives in the governance of Business Improvement Districts and ensuring technical support for neighbourhood planning extends to cover town centre vitality.

There is also a strong case for the extension of the Right to Bid under the Localism Act 2011 to a powerful new Community Right to Buy. This extension would give specifically defined communities priority rights to buy land in which they have registered an interest, and a generous window of opportunity to raise the funds necessary to meet the price of the land as determined by an independent valuation. In addition, the new Community Right to Buy should include the right for communities to force the sale of a building or land if it is in a state of significant disrepair or neglect and is contributing to the decline of a neighbourhood.

To tackle financial barriers to ownership, Government should earmark £300 million of the additional funding announced for the Stronger Towns Fund to support community-led organisations to take on buildings and land that matter to them in their town centres over the next five years. This funding should include initial feasibility funding, capital funding for building purchase and, critically, revenue funding to support the early running costs of the building. To support communities to make best use of this fund, the new High Streets Task Force should provide access to capacity building for community organisations that successfully secure funding. An additional £10 million should be made available to the High Streets Task Force to provide this support.

For too long, not just in the high streets debate but across the broad sweep of economic regeneration policy, community empowerment has been seen as a nice thing to have in addition to the supposedly more serious business of tax reform, Whitehallled industrial strategy and so on. In fact, empowering communities is the most serious thing we can do in response to the decline of our high streets. Because when people take real control over the places where they live, that is when genuinely transformative change can take place.

Vidhya Alakeson is the founding Chief Executive of Power to Change. This article first appeared in our Centre Write magazine On the home front. Views expressed in this article are those of the author, not necessarily those of Bright Blue. 

Lord O’Neill: Lost towns?

By Centre Write, Towns & Devolution

I have spent a lot of time in the past six years thinking about the excessive dependence of the UK economy on the performance of London and the surrounding South East areas, originally being asked to chair an independent review into how to invigorate other major British cities. This Cities Growth Commission appeared to be a big influence on the then-Chancellor of the Exchequer, George Osborne, and our ideas played quite a role in the conception of the Northern Powerhouse, as well as the separate issue of devolving decision making away from Westminster to major urban areas.

In that Commission, and much of the subsequent focus of thinking of mine, the prime areas of attention were larger metropolitan areas of at least 500,000 residents. This was done, not because we didn’t care about smaller cities, towns or rural areas, but simply because we were tasked with coming up with ideas that could boost national economic growth, and the evidence strongly suggested that if you could boost the economic performance of these 14 metro areas while not weakening that of London and the South East, indeed the overall trend growth performance of the UK could be improved.

When thinking about smaller towns, villages and rural areas, it is the case that if all of them around all the UK could also see their general vibrancy uplifted, then this would also boost national economic performance, but there are thousands of these, and unless you can positively change a large majority of them, it likely wouldn’t influence the overall national economy. This observation is often not something many wish to focus on, but in my view, it is a harsh reality. If accepted, it would allow a more rational discussion of what to do about these smaller, so-called ‘left-behind’ places.

At the same time, what is similarly true, as evidenced by the 2016 EU referendum, is that even if you can’t think of policies to help all these smaller places that would make as much difference as policies for 14 metro areas, it is rather dangerous to not think about them. While there remain endless discussions about what caused citizens to vote to leave the European Union, it is reasonably clear that it was not led by those living in London or other major metro areas. So it is definitely important for policymakers to think about new policies on place as it relates to less populated areas.

Hence, let me concentrate on towns, but to some extent, the ideas may be applicable to even smaller conurbations.

Let me also make a clear distinction between those towns that lie close to major metro areas from those that are more isolated, such as coastal towns, or other more remote locations. It is clear to me that policymakers should make this distinction when thinking about towns close to Greater London, or within the Northern Powerhouse, or even the so-called Midlands Engine.

In principle, towns that are commutable to London, or geographically lie within the Northern Powerhouse or the Midlands Engine, should play a crucial, indeed, central role to the broader agglomeration theory that underpins the economic case for them. Indeed, as can be observed readily in towns not too geographically distant from London, for example Guildford, they have obvious benefits to many people that enjoy active working lives in the heart of London.

The core of the Northern Powerhouse is the region that is bounded between the metro areas of Leeds, Sheffield to the east, Liverpool to the west, and Manchester, centrally. Including all the towns and villages in between as well as those cities, this totals around eight million people. If policies can be done to allow this whole area to function as one economic unit, both as consumers and producers, then all the smaller towns would benefit immensely. Barnsley, Doncaster, Oldham, Warrington and so on, all stand to benefit just as much as Manchester itself, if done properly. This is why, of course, the Northern Powerhouse Rail is so central to the concept. And equally importantly is what we used to call the ‘Noyster’ at the Cities Commission: a system for allowing seamless and affordable travel around the Northern Powerhouse.

There is also the topic of young people from towns that, understandably want to disappear off to universities. If the Northern Powerhouse develops credible traction, and young ambitious people feel they can develop a fulfilling and rewarding career, then some of these towns could become the Guildfords of the Northern Powerhouse in the future. Similarly, the path of disappearing off to a university, then finding the first job in London, and then disappearing to London for the rest of one’s active life, can be broken. Indeed, I detect the faintest of signs that this might be happening a bit, at least around the Manchester and Leeds areas.

I often think, in this regard, the N8 entity, that informally links the historically regarded best northern English universities, could play a much more dynamic and forceful role in pursuing some related goals for the success of the Northern Powerhouse, and indirectly and also directly, help more the towns located nearby.

It is undoubtedly tougher for towns that are more remote, including those in the North. Many of these proud places, historically vibrant due to manufacturing industry or coastal tourism, need to take a good hard analytical look at themselves, and objectively articulate what is their modern ‘edge’? Feeling sorry for themselves because they have been on the wrong end of major global, and perhaps domestic, forces won’t really succeed.

Trying to position yourself in a different way is the right path. Carlisle I think, which is very isolated from the major urban centres of the north, has started to have some success. It has persuaded policymakers to think of it as being in the centre of the ‘Borderlands’ area and has managed to attract government funding for some new ideas that go with this. Most recently, Stockport, long a town felt bypassed by Manchester’s success, has decided to become more ambitious and has some truly exciting ideas about recreating its central areas. I am sure there must be many others.

Lord O’Neill is the Vice Chair of the Northern Powerhouse Partnership. This article first appeared in our Centre Write magazine On the home front. Views expressed in this article are those of the author, not necessarily those of Bright Blue. 

Nicholas Boys Smith: Everyday beauty

By Centre Write, Towns & Devolution

Somewhere, somehow, over the last century we dropped beauty, mislaid it, and forgot that we needed to pick it up again. The great visionaries who created the National Trust, the Garden Cities movement and who took the first halting steps to what became the Town and Country Planning Act were not afraid of beauty. When Octavia Hill campaigned to save common land or to provide housing for the poor she sought to protect or provide “beauty… for the refreshment of our souls.” When Clough Williams-Ellis penned his ground-breaking polemic against 1920s ribbon development, England and the Octopus, he wished that “a happy awareness of beauty about us should… be the everyday condition of us all.”

This confidence, this surety of everyday beauty as a worthwhile aim, not as the only thing that matters but as something critically over-arching and aspirational was not without legislative consequences. In Parliament, the 1909 Planning Act was defined as being “to secure the home healthy, the house beautiful, the town pleasant, the city dignified and the suburb salubrious.”

But how do you measure beauty? How is beauty defined? Who’s defining it? Difficult questions that architects, philosophers and poets have debated for millennia. But they have always been difficult. What has changed is our reaction to the challenge. Even if we cannot fully and always agree about what we find beautiful, the process of debating and discussing it can lift our collective sights and help us strive for better things. The problem is that we are not even trying any more. The former head of the National Trust, Fiona Reynolds has written: “Today to talk of beauty in policy circles risks embarrassment: it is felt both to be too vague a word, lacking precision and focus and, paradoxically given its appeal by contrast with official jargon, elitist. Yet in losing the word ‘beauty’ we have lost something special from our ability to shape our present and our future.”

She is right. And we need to change this. The good news is that I think we can. First of all, the Government is now thinking about this. Earlier this year they set up the Building Better Building Beautiful Commission, which I am co-chairing alongside Sir Roger Scruton.

Second, it is increasingly being recognised how pernicious is the old lie ‘beauty is in the eye of the beholder.’ Simple clichés are dangerous things. And this one has probably done more harm than most. In fact, polling, focus group, psychological and pricing data is consistent and compelling on the types of homes, places and towns that most people want to live in and find attractive most of the time. The precise nuances and relative weightings vary from time to time and place to place. There may even be generational patterns. However, the types of place, even adjusting for wealth and health, which we aesthetically prefer, in which most of us feel happier and whose creation we are more likely to support, are remarkably consistent in most research. The social enterprise that I founded and run, Create Streets, exists to carry out this research and to support its practical application by neighbourhoods and landowners, councils and developers.

So what do we like? For our book, Of Streets and Squares, we’ve recently been using a uniquely wide data set to research the types of streets and squares that people actually like and the ones they actively avoid. We polled over two thousand people with carefully controlled images. And we ‘dropped’ a visual preference algorithm developed at the Turing Institute and trained by 1.5 million responses to over 200,000 images, into just under 19,000 streets and squares in six British cities. Could we find patterns in the types of places people like by comparing the scores of the algorithm with the ‘big data’ on our cities? You bet we could.

Take London, one of the six cities we investigated. The types of place that came out top were very consistent. Old fashioned squares and beautiful walkable streets with a rich diversity of uses. They had some greenery but also a sense of enclosure (buildings about as wide as the street was tall). They had ‘gentle density’ half-way between the extremes of tower block and extended suburbia. They also had what we call the ‘narrow fronts, many doors’ model. No long blank walls but frequent front doors and windows. Similar patterns emerged in our visual preference surveys with Ipsos MORI.

Urban designers often tell us that buildings don’t matter, ‘it’s the space in between.’ And volume housebuilders tell us that people aspire to the drive-to cul-desacs they churn out. They’re both wrong. The least popular places and the lowest scoring images in our polling were defined by lakes of tarmac and sheer, grey, faceless buildings. Drive to cul-de-sac streets scored pretty badly too. People recoil from streets without colour, a sense of place, variety in pattern or a coherent complexity of windows and doors in a near symmetrical pattern.

When, six years ago, Create Streets started making this case we were largely ridiculed by the design and planning professions. That is now changing. Rationality is breaking out. If local councils want to boost the wellbeing of a Brexitperturbed populace the answer is staring them in the face. Ask what people find beautiful. You’ll get remarkable agreement from rich to poor, from north to south. And then support that though planning policy, not walls of glass or repetitive ugliness.

Nicholas Boys Smith is the Director of Create Streets and co-chair of the Building Better, Building Beautiful Commission. This article first appeared in our Centre Write magazine On the home front. Views expressed in this article are those of the author, not necessarily those of Bright Blue. 

Loïc Fremond: London must build smarter as well as more

By Centre Write, Energy & Environment, Housing & Homelessness, Towns & Devolution

London has been in the midst of an acute housing crisis for some time now. One has only to consult recent figures to grasp the situation. The housing market in the nation’s capital is amongst the most inaccessible in the world. While rents have surged over the last decade and home ownership has become increasingly unfeasible, the number of rough sleepers has hit record levels. The pressure this places on residents is considerable – the pressure this places on the environment is untenable.

And yet, there are a surprisingly large number of calls for the government to deregulate and build on the Green Belt. Not only is this unsustainable, but it falls into the same trap as previous solutions.

However, we can use this opportunity to improve our city, through building greener and in a denser, more consolidated way.

The housing crisis is symptomatic of a deeper problem that has been festering for some time. Simply put, the supply of housing has not kept up with increasing demand. Between 1991 and 2016, London’s population grew from 6.4 million to 8.8 million, an increase of 2.4 million. Over this same period, only 720,000 new homes were registered, according to the Mayor of London census.

The effects have been tangible. In 1991, the average cost of buying a property in London was £162,000 (adjusted for inflation). In 2016, that average rose to £489,000, an increase of 202%. That same year, private renters exceeded the number of property owners living in London for the first time in over a decade.

Consequently, for many, the dream of owning a home to call their own in London is unattainable, property values pushing them further afield in the pursuit of getting more bang for their buck;  for some, crushing rents mean living in Housing Cost Induced Poverty, unable to save or even to move. For an ever growing number of people, losing their job means running the risk of becoming a rough sleeper.

With the city’s population projected to grow an estimated 8.8% by 2026 and the number of new units still painfully lagging the rate of population growth, the problem will only intensify.

The issue is complex and has multiple causes. But if the cause is complex, then so too is the effect. Experts rightly seek to measure the economic and social costs to the individual, to the government, and to the economy as a whole. And it is certainly right for them to be asking how this situation came to be, holding local government to account for pandering to the politics of homeowners to the detriment of home buyers.

Yet, this extensive patchwork of analysis fails to factor in the environmental cost. In a mega-city like London, any major effort to solve the housing crisis is, by definition, an environmental issue as well. Where we build our housing and the quality of it is telling of how we view our local environment. It has significant impact on land usage, vehicle emissions, air quality, and our overall carbon footprint. Unlike our European counterparts who focused on increasing urban density, post-WWII housing policy has focused on urban sprawl. We have built terraced developments on low-cost rural land, forcing people further and further out. The outcome is a value cost to our local environment, our air quality, and our health, as well as an opportunity cost to millions of people.

The best way for London to solve its housing crisis and mitigate its environmental impact is to build high density, high quality homes that are designed to be eco-friendly and sustainable. With higher density, we allow people to live near high frequency transit or near their workplace, and incentivise increased pedestrianisation. Less land is used up, achieving both greenfield preservation and reducing the number of vehicles on the road.

There is no doubt that the climate crisis presents a challenge to all of us, and will require a comprehensive approach to resolve it. But by embedding sustainable practices in our housing and city design, it is possible to improve standards for everyone

Loïc Fremond is undertaking work experience with Bright Blue, and is currently reading Classical Archaeology & Civilisations at University College London. The views expressed in this article are those of the author, and not necessarily those of Bright Blue.

Peter Wilson: Yorkshire, infrastructure & future devolution

By Centre Write, Towns & Devolution, Transport

On Yorkshire Day (1st August) this year, Boris Johnson sent the following message to us Yorkshire folk saying, “I know there’s wide support for more devolution here and we must now move forward with an approach that’s practical, while giving communities a much greater say over transport, housing, public services and infrastructure that will drive growth and see long-lasting benefits for families and businesses in this great region.”

The fact is that the population of the Yorkshire and Humber Region, at almost 5.4 million, is greater than that of Scotland (5.3 million). In fact, three of the 10 largest cities in the UK – Leeds, Sheffield and Bradford – are in Yorkshire. Yet any plans for a One Yorkshire devolution deal appear to have been stymied by the inability of the  Government to look positively on such a deal supported by 18 local authorities, including both metropolitan (mainly Labour) authorities and the rural, more Conservative areas of East and North Yorkshire and the Sheffield City Region Mayor. Both to the north and the west of Yorkshire there are devolution deals in Teesside and Greater Manchester, which means that there is a risk that Yorkshire misses out on some investment opportunities, as more funding streams are focussed on these Mayoral Combined Authority areas.

Despite all this politicking, there has been economic progress such as on the east coast, which used to be seen as a neglected and depressed region and is now emerging as the first evidence of economic and social renaissance via a North Sea energy boom. 

This has brought to Hull many new jobs with a Siemens Gamesa blade factory for wind turbines, the biggest manufacturing plant built in Britain this century. The company is currently adding a second production line to meet demand from the off-shore wind farm at Hornsea 1 while in Grimsby, the Danish group Ørsted has based its control room that manages every turbine 75 miles out in the North Sea. Hornsea 2, 3, and 4, are lined up for the early 2020s, and together they could produce 6.2 gigawatts (GW) for the National Grid. This ‘green energy’ will be produced at around at £57.50 per megawatt/hour (MWh) compared to the Hinkley Point nuclear plant’s projected price of £92.50. Such cheap energy opens up the prospect of direct cables to chemical plants on the Humber, at Teesside, or to the struggling steel works at Scunthorpe, making these plants competitive with other plants across Europe and the world.

Further up the coast in Bridlington, there is a harbour that lands more lobster by weight than any other port in the EU, and further in land at Goole, 200 more jobs could be created on top of the 700 already announced at a new train £200m factory. This factory will build state-of-the-art trains for the Piccadilly Line in London. There are plenty of other positive economic stories coming out of the county including in Sheffield, where Boeing now has its first European facility making actuation system components for 737 and 767 aircraft. This was following an investment by Boeing of more than £40 million.  Investment from Channel 4 can also be seen, with the station’s new national HQ planning to be located opposite Leeds railway station7

One of the greatest obstacles that faces Yorkshire, and indeed the wider North of England, is that the road and rail infrastructure is way behind that of London. This year, IPPR’s analysis of historic spending shows that over the last 10 years (2008/09–2017/18), the average annual public spending on transport has been £739 per capita on London, compared to £305 per capita on the North. This gap has grown over the last 10 years – spending per capita on London has increased by 2.5 times more than it has in the North since 2007/08. 

What Boris Johnson needs to do, alongside giving Yorkshire a devolution deal, is to give Transport for the North (TfN) more powers similar to that of TfL. This is so that TfN can get on with the full electrification of the Hullapool line, not just Leeds to Manchester, and improve other rail connections by giving local groups financial incentives to build new rail infrastructure or reinstitute unused lines. Local groups would do this in association with TfN on  lines such as between Beverley to York, Skipton to Colne and Harrogate to Northallerton. In addition, there need to be road improvements by making dual-carriageways or widening of roads a priority, particularly from city areas to Yorkshire coastal resorts and Humber ports, which are the busiest ports complex in the UK. 

Yorkshire is an example of how national government needs to devolve decision making to the regions of England, as has already happened in the three other countries of our United Kingdom thus bringing the operation of our county’s governmental institutions far closer to the people in a post-Brexit age.

Peter Wilson was born in Yorkshire and worked in the West Riding textile trade before moving into media including the radio industry in the UK & Zambia. He was involved in lobbying parliament to get changes made to broadcasting legislation in the 1990 Broadcasting Act and the 2003 Communications Act, which has led to an increase in the range of radio & TV services. From 2008 to 2012 he was Wolverhampton City Councillor. Views expressed in this article are those of the author, not necessarily those of Bright Blue.

Henry Hill: Boris and the Union

By Centre Write, Towns & Devolution

If Boris Johnson is serious about living up to his chosen title as ‘Minister for the Union’, he faces an extraordinary challenge.

Not only must he steer what he dubs the ‘awesome foursome’ through the acute and immediate challenges of Brexit and a belated rise in separatist support. He needs also to combat the failing “more powers” orthodoxy which has brought the Union to its current parlous state – and articulate an alternative vision to replace it.

Since the advent of devolution in the 1990s, unionists have had one approach when it comes to the separatists: keep making concessions and hope that, at some point, the ‘new United Kingdom’ is enough for the SNP.

It has not worked. Devolution promised, from a unionist perspective, to “kill nationalism stone dead”. Moving power was supposed to assuage separatist feeling and even deliver better government. It has instead created whole political ecosystems which derive salaries, sinecures, and status from the new institutions, and gear themselves towards manufacturing support for and then constantly pressing one demand: “more powers”.

Should this process be allowed to continue, the destination is almost certainly the eventual dissolution of the United Kingdom. It shares with the example of the European Union the dynamic of politicians shifting blame onto it to distract from local problems, but whereas we spent decades more tightly integrating with Europe – thus making departure a complex and difficult business – we have spent that same time unpicking the UK.

We have now genuinely reached a point where even some ‘pro-Union’ politicians argue that the UK, a country, be less closely integrated than the EU. That is the implication of the Government’s retreat over ‘post-Brexit devolved powers’, which saw devolved politicians and their parliamentary confederates insist that powers which have until now been pooled in Brussels cannot be pooled in London. Johnson must forcefully reject such reasoning.

So, what form should a full-throated Government fightback take? It needs to have short-term, medium-term, and long-term elements.

In the short term, the Prime Minister must immediately begin working on strategies for victory for potential referendums in either Scotland or Northern Ireland during the 2020s. Research must be commissioned and acted upon, data and other campaign essentials built up, messages and messengers tested.

In the medium-term, the Government must set itself to better integrating the United Kingdom and making the Union harder to pick apart. Ministers’ first-hand experiences of trying to unpick the European Union ought to have given them plenty of ideas. This effort must be given institutional life, at the very least as a dedicated Cabinet Office unit, and every department should be required to cooperate with it and contribute to a government-wide Union strategy.

(Suffice to say the maintenance of pan-UK institutions also means maintaining the Conservative Party as a country-wide political force and rejecting a split.)

The long-term challenge is the hardest, but the most important: the PM must try to start the revival of the British nation. Talk about the ‘awesome foursome’ and ‘our union of nations’ is all very well, but it ignores the crucial idea that Britain is itself a nation too. That is why so many people (but not enough) identify, either partly or indeed wholly, as ‘British’.

A British state will not survive without a British nation to underpin it. Political consent for the realities of union, be that pooled decision-making or fiscal transfers, depends upon a sense of fellow-feeling between all its citizens. Without it, any case for the United Kingdom will be entirely mercenary, and contingent upon economic circumstances which will eventually change. Just ask the Stronger In campaign how that goes.

The good news is that all of these campaigns can support the other. Affection for Britain is withering in part because the British dimension of political and cultural life has dwindled. If these trends are to be reversed, they can, and perhaps must, be reversed in tandem.

Views expressed in this article are those of the author, not necessarily those of Bright Blue. Image licensed under the Open Government Licence v1.0.