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Bella Wallersteiner: Israel stands alone in the Middle East on protecting LGBT rights

By Centre Write, Foreign, Human Rights & Discrimination

Israel stands out in the Middle East region for its liberal LGBT laws; as such, supporting Israel should be a priority for those advocating for LGBT rights. However, when I made this point on social media a few days ago – as someone who also considers themselves part of the ‘LBGT’ umbrella – little did I know that I would end up receiving a barrage of hateful messages and abuse from pro-Palestine activists.

Their reason? The Eurovision Song Contest.

Over 450 queer artists, individuals and organisations have urged Olly Alexander, the UK’s Eurovision contestant, to boycott this year’s competition in a show of solidarity with Palestine. Signatories of an open letter, including Maxine Peake and Sarah Schulman, have called on the singer to withdraw from the May contest due to the ongoing conflict between Israel and Hamas in Gaza. The letter, shared on Instagram by the account ‘Queers for Palestine,’ urges Alexander to heed the Palestinian call for withdrawal from Eurovision, citing concerns over a state allegedly involved in apartheid and genocide.

In truth, the rights and wellbeing of the Palestinian people rightly demands international attention. However, conflating this with Israel’s participation in Eurovision is misguided and counterproductive.

First and foremost, let us address the elephant in the room: Hamas. As a terrorist organisation, Hamas has a long history of violence and oppression. It openly advocates for the destruction of Israel and routinely targets innocent civilians, particularly members of the LGBT community. So forgive me if I refuse to bow down to the demands of an organisation that actively seeks to erase people like me from existence.

Now, let us talk about Israel. Contrary to the narrative pushed by activist groups, Israel is a beacon of hope and progress in the Middle East when it comes to LGBT rights. In a region where homosexuality is often punishable by death, Israel stands as a shining example of tolerance and acceptance.

In Israel, LGBT individuals are protected by anti-discrimination laws, have the right to serve openly in the military and can legally adopt children. Tel Aviv, the country’s vibrant cultural hub, hosts one of the largest Pride celebrations in the world, attracting thousands of people from across the globe. This is not tokenism; this is real, tangible progress. Nonetheless, it is Israel that the aforementioned Queers for Palestine want to boycott.

Why should Israel be punished for its commitment to equality? Should LGBT individuals in Israel be denied the opportunity to participate in Eurovision because of a war they have no control over? The answer is simple: they should not.

I refuse to be silenced by hate. I refuse to let a vocal minority dictate what I can and cannot say. And, most importantly, I refuse to turn my back on a country that has done more for the LGBT community than their neighbours.

To my fellow LGBT individuals: do not let anyone tell you who you can and cannot support. Our community is built on love and acceptance, not division and hatred. So, stand tall, speak out and never apologise for defending what you believe in. Israel, I stand with you. And I always will.

Isabella Wallersteiner is an Associate Fellow at Bright Blue.

Views expressed in this article are those of the author, and not necessarily those of Bright Blue.

[Image: Author]

Isabella Wallersteiner: Defending Reality – Why Asserting Biological Truths is Essential to Women’s Grassroots Sport

By Centre Write, Foreign, Isabella Wallersteiner, Law & Justice, Politics

In the world of sports, where milliseconds and millimetres often separate champions from contenders, fairness is everything. This is a point that has largely been lost on politicians gripped by identitarian politics and wrangling over whether a woman can have a penis, with Orwellian rhetoric from our public sector bodies increasingly seeking to manipulate language and redefine truth to fit a particular ideological agenda.

In such an environment, the Labour leader, Sir Keir Starmer’s belated support for measures to protect the female category of sporting competitions this week is appreciated. After previously declining to publicly confirm his position, Starmer has since said he is “supportive” of measures which protect the female category of sporting competitions. Although, the Labour leader gave no specifics about how this would be done at a grassroots level. 

In the context of grassroots sports, there is a growing discussion about the necessity of segregating sports by sex to ensure fair competition. This debate has ramped up after it was reported by the Policy Exchange think tank that biological men hold at least three Parkrun female records because of its policy that lets entrants self-identify their gender. Parkrun subsequently removed gender, course and age records from its websites after rejecting a campaign to make transgender runners record their sex at birth. A decision which will no doubt have harmful repercussions on female participation, motivation and sense of belonging in the event. 

During a recent ultra-marathon event around the Jurassic Coast, I crossed the finish line in fifth place among female competitors, marking a significant personal achievement. Without sex-specific categories, amateur athletes like myself may find ourselves overshadowed, with opportunities for recognition and advancement in the sport hindered. When I reached the final checkpoint of the race at 45K, the first question I put to the race wardens – between gulps of Lucozade and mouthfuls of Haribo – is where I was amongst the female competitors. Having access to women-only categories in the ultra-marathon meant I could challenge myself to be the best I could be and push my limits without feeling outdone by biologically superior male competitors. If you take away sex-specific categories from grassroots sport – i.e. those sports practised at a non-professional level for health, educational or social purposes – you take all of this away from female competitors. 

Calling for grassroots sport to be sex-segregated should not be controversial. The physiological advantages that men possess over women in sports have long been known, encompassing factors such as bone density, hormonal influence and cardiovascular function. One of the most notable physiological differences between men and women is muscle mass and strength. On average, men have a higher proportion of muscle mass and greater muscle strength compared to women. This inherent advantage enables men to generate more power and exert greater force during athletic movements such as sprinting, jumping and lifting weights. Consequently, male athletes often excel in sports that require explosive power and physical dominance, such as sprinting, weightlifting and football.

Another factor contributing to the male-female disparity in sports performance is bone density and skeletal structure. Men typically have denser bones and larger skeletal frames, providing greater support and stability during high-impact activities. This advantage not only reduces the risk of injuries but also enhances overall performance, particularly in sports that involve contact, collisions, and repetitive stress on the bones and joints. Sports like rugby, basketball and gymnastics – which demand robust skeletal support – often showcase the benefits of male physiology.

Testosterone, the primary male sex hormone, plays a crucial role in shaping physiological characteristics that confer athletic advantages. Men naturally produce higher levels of testosterone, which stimulates muscle growth, increases red blood cell production and enhances aerobic capacity. These hormonal differences contribute to greater muscle mass, faster recovery times and improved endurance among male athletes. While women also produce testosterone, albeit in smaller quantities, the disparity in hormone levels can influence athletic performance, particularly in endurance-based sports like cycling, distance running and swimming.

While both sexes are capable of extraordinary athletic achievements, understanding and acknowledging these inherent differences is essential for promoting fairness, inclusivity and participation. At a grassroots level, female categories undoubtedly encourage greater participation among female athletes by removing barriers and obstacles that may deter them from joining sports activities. For many women, the opportunity to compete against other women can also be a catalyst for overcoming cultural, social and logistical challenges that may otherwise hinder their involvement in sports.

Whilst Keir Starmer’s intervention this week is welcome, policymakers must go further to protect female sport at a grassroots level. This could be providing financial incentives for sports clubs and organisations that prioritise the development and promotion of female-only categories, such as grants, subsidies and sponsorship opportunities – and removing funding from those which do not. The Government should also look to enact legislation requiring sports clubs and organisations to adopt gender equality policies that prioritise female participation and representation in decision-making roles. 

Above all, we need to fix the Equality Act, as championed by former Prime Minister Liz Truss and former Home Secretary Suella Braverman this week, to ensure that sex means biological sex. By clarifying that “sex” in the Equality Act refers to biological sex, policymakers can establish a clear framework for ensuring fair competition and preserving the integrity of women’s sports.

Women-only categories in sports play a vital role in encouraging female participation and providing opportunities for women and girls to excel. However, the inclusion of transgender athletes in these categories, without regard for biological sex, will undermine the progress that has been made in promoting women’s sports. By reaffirming the importance of female-only categories through legislative reform, policymakers can send a powerful message about the value of women’s participation in sports and the need to protect their rights and opportunities.

From trailblazing Olympians like Wilma Rudolph and Nadia Comaneci, to the athlete-activism of Billie-Jean King and Martina Navratilova, women have left an indelible mark on sports history through their unparalleled achievements and contributions. By maintaining women’s categories at a grassroots level, we honour the legacy of these remarkable athletes and we affirm our commitment to creating a future where every female athlete has the chance to pursue her passion, fulfil her potential and leave her mark on the world of sports.

As we navigate complex debates surrounding gender identity and expression, let us remain vigilant in defending clarity, integrity and respect in discourse, ensuring that truth triumphs over Orwellian distortion.

Isabella Wallersteiner is an Associate Fellow at Bright Blue.

Views expressed in this article are those of the author, and not necessarily those of Bright Blue.

Isabella Wallersteiner: The Prime Minister’s speech on antisemitism and extremism: will actions match rhetoric?

By Centre Write, Foreign, Isabella Wallersteiner, Law & Justice, Politics

On Friday evening, the Prime Minister made a striking statement outside No. 10, likening Islamists and the far-right as “two sides of the same extremist coin” who harbour a mutual loathing for Britain. While the sentiment expressed in the Prime Minister’s speech was undoubtedly symbolically important, it arrives considerably late in addressing a concerning trend that has persisted since October 7th.

Since the heinous Hamas attack on Israel, weekends have been marked across the country by regular protests concerning the Israel-Gaza conflict. These protests, unfortunately, have frequently featured antisemitic imagery, casting a shadow over the public discourse and raising questions about the state of tolerance and inclusivity within our society. Such demonstrations began almost immediately after Hamas’ atrocities and before Israel had retaliated. This is in contrast to the seeming lack of interest in the sufferings of Muslims, such as the Rohingyas in Myanmar (more than a million refugees), and the persecution of the Uighur Muslims by the Chinese government.

For the past five months, individuals like myself have been tirelessly bringing to attention the presence of antisemitic symbols and rhetoric at the pro-Palestine marches in London. Yet, despite our efforts and the obvious need for action, law enforcement has often fallen short in effectively policing these events, allowing such hateful expressions to continue unchecked.

Earlier last week, as a result of my activism and fundraising, I had the honour of being invited to  the Community Security Trust (CST) annual dinner during which the Prime Minister announced the extension of a Government Grant of £18 million for the next financial year. Moreover, a minimum commitment of £18 million annually over the next four years will be allocated to the Jewish community.

The announcement came at a critical juncture given the recent surge in antisemitic incidents following the Hamas attacks on Israel and their aftermath. A recent report by the CST revealed that antisemitic behaviour in the UK reached its highest levels in over 40 years, with incidents rising by almost 150%to more than 4,000 in 2023 alone.

The persistence of these protests has led to Jewish individuals feeling increasingly vulnerable in public spaces. Recently, actress Tracy-Ann Oberman revealed that she was advised against leaving a London theatre due to ongoing pro-Palestinian protests outside. This underscores the palpable fear and anxiety experienced by members of the Jewish community amidst the escalating tensions.

Jonathan Hall KC, the independent reviewer of counter-terrorism legislation, has also sounded the alarm, expressing grave concerns over the rise of open extremism in Britain. In an interview with the Mail On Sunday, he stated, “It is the public brazenness of hate directed towards people by category, in particular Zionists, or Israelis, or Jews.”.

Whilst the Prime Minister’s intervention is welcome, the scale of the challenge is such that without specific legislative proposals, it is hard to see how the situation will improve. Instead, the Prime Minister has emphasised backing the police in their efforts to maintain order.

The failure of the Government to take decisive action in addressing these issues has exacerbated the situation, with calls for accountability growing louder. Despite the clear evidence of antisemitism within these protests, there has been a notable absence of meaningful intervention.

One of the key points of the Prime Minister’s speech on Friday was the pledge to re-double support for the anti-terrorism Prevent program. This indicates a recognition of the need for proactive measures to counter radicalisation and prevent the spread of extremist ideologies within communities. But, the Prime Minister needs to go further and fully implement the recommendations from the Shawcross review. The long-awaited report on the Government’s counter-extremism programme ‘Prevent’ by William Shawcross, an author and the former chair of the Charity Commission, has called for a greater focus on Islamist terrorism. Despite all the evidence demonstrating that Islamist terrorism is by far the greatest terrorist threat this country faces, the numbers referred to Prevent for Islamist radicalisation have become an ever smaller proportion of those in the scheme, representing only 11% of referrals in the year April 2022 – March 2023

Shawcross’s review also revealed that university referrals to Prevent were ‘strikingly low’, despite risks to universities from extremist groups. In his speech on Friday, the Prime Minister called for universities to tackle “extremist activity” which reflects a growing government concern over the potential radicalisation of young people in educational institutions. By demanding action from universities, the Government aims to address the root causes of extremism and promote a culture of tolerance and inclusivity on campuses.

There has been a wave of antisemitic incidents faced by Jewish students across the country, including physical attacks and assaults. The CST has received 150 reports of antisemitic incidents affecting students, academics, university staff and student bodies across the UK in 2020-21 and 2021-22. This compares with 123 in the previous two academic years. The Government must go further to ensure students unions and university authorities are better supporting their Jewish students, taking concerns seriously and acting against antisemitism.

Five months have passed since the initial attack that sparked these protests and the subsequent display of antisemitism. The Government’s failure to act swiftly not only undermines its commitment to combating extremism, but has also left the Jewish community feeling isolated and unprotected. I have Jewish friends who will not use the underground on Saturdays because of this sense of fear and vulnerability.

While words are important, they must be accompanied by meaningful action. The Prime Minister’s speech serves as a reminder of the urgent need for robust measures to address extremism in all its forms. It is imperative that the Government works tirelessly to ensure the safety and well-being of all its citizens, regardless of their race, religion or background.

As we move forward, this speech should mark the beginning of a concerted effort to tackle antisemitism and extremism head-on. The time for complacency has long passed; now is the time for decisive action and unwavering commitment to the values of tolerance, inclusivity and respect for all.

Isabella Wallersteiner is an Associate Fellow at Bright Blue.

Views expressed in this article are those of the author, and not necessarily those of Bright Blue. [Image: Daniel Sandvik]

Isabella Wallersteiner: Faith in Education: Navigating the Controversy Surrounding Religion in UK Schools

By Centre Write, Foreign, Isabella Wallersteiner, Law & Justice, Politics

In today’s diverse and multicultural society, the question of whether religion should be a part of the educational system continues to spark debates. The recent High Court challenge against Michaela Community School in Wembley, northwest London, sheds light on a contentious issue within the realm of education – the role of religion in schools. Founded by teacher and educational reformer Katharine Birbalsingh, the school is facing scrutiny over its policy of banning prayer rituals, with a student arguing that the ban disproportionately affects Muslim children and consequently taking the school to court. The case has invited a broader discussion on the implications of incorporating religious practices in schools and whether a more secular approach might be necessary for fostering a truly inclusive and tolerant educational environment.

Headteacher Katharine Birbalsingh, the Government’s former Social Mobility Commissioner, implemented a temporary prayer ban at the Michaela Community School in March of last year as an element of its inclusive ethos. Birbalsingh said the school went to great lengths to make sure children from all backgrounds mix, but argued that allowing children to separate at lunchtime to pray impacted the ethos of the school.

As a result of the ban, a two-day High Court judicial review hearing against the school has been brought by one of its Muslim pupils, who cannot be named for legal reasons. Her lawyers argue the ban breached equality laws and the student’s freedom of religion.

Yet Birbalsingh has continued to robustly defend the school’s position, asserting that the claim should be dismissed. She argues that the ban was needed to restore “calm and order” after harassment and violence was directed at the school’s teachers, pointing out also that the school’s number of Muslim pupils has grown by 50%.

It is hard to disagree with Birbalsingh. Michaela Community School, based in Wembley, has been consistently awarded Ofsted’s highest rating. Following Ofsted’s latest inspection of the school in May 2023, inspectors found the expectations put on pupils are “exceptionally high,” meaning they “rise to the challenges” set by teachers and “take their education seriously.”

Despite the school’s successful record, Birbalsingh is being dragged through the courts and pilloried by commentators, with one Guardian journalist calling the ban “a dystopian, sinister vision of Britishness.”

To her credit, Gillian Keegan MP, the Secretary of State for Education, has posted a supportive tweet for Birbalsingh, but most MPs have stayed silent on the issue.

There is nothing radical about Birbalsingh’s stance. Other countries also emphasise the separation of religion and education as a fundamental principle. Religious symbols have been banned in French schools since 2004. In August 2023, Emmanuel Macron went further, barring children in public schools from wearing the abaya, a loose-fitting, full-length robe worn by some Muslim women.

In Germany, eight states have introduced so-called “neutrality laws,” which mean that religious symbols and prayer are banned in public schools. It is argued that this ban helps maintain a fair and unbiased learning environment, allowing students to form their own beliefs independently.

It is time that policymakers in the UK examined the role of religion in educational settings. As it stands, in the UK, a school’s rules must conform to the Human Rights Act and Equality Act, which protect characteristics associated with religion or belief, race, gender or ability. Whilst these rights can be assessed against other priorities, there are no blanket bans and pupils can dispute restrictions on a case-by-case basis.

While the idea of banning religion in schools may be met with resistance from those who value the importance of faith-based education, this should be outweighed by the need to create an inclusive, unbiased, and rational learning environment. Banning religion in schools helps safeguard students from potential indoctrination, allowing them the freedom to explore diverse ideas and form their own worldviews based on their experiences, knowledge and personal reflections. By fostering critical thinking, preserving the separation of church and state and promoting equal opportunities, a secular education system seeks to prepare students for the complexities of the modern world, encouraging them to navigate it with an open mind and a respect for diverse perspectives.

Britain’s rich tapestry of cultures and religions can be a source of strength, but it also carries the risk of potential divides and flashpoints. At Batley Grammar in Yorkshire, a religious studies teacher had to go into hiding in 2021 after showing a cartoon of the Prophet Mohammed to pupils. For days afterwards parents and activists protested at the school gates and the teacher received death threats. In 2023, it was reported that the teacher was still in hiding with his young family.

The incident had a lasting impact on schools, with a Policy Exchange-commissioned survey finding in November 2023 that one in six teachers had curtailed teachings on religion after the Batley furore. Policy Exchange said the findings showed that a “de facto blasphemy code” had been established in classrooms.

Schools are the foundation of a child’s integration into society and as such should be spaces that unite rather than divide. The call to ban religion in UK schools is not about stifling individual beliefs; it is about creating an environment that fosters diversity and encourages free thought. The shackles of religious dogma have no place in a modern, forward-thinking educational system.

Isabella Wallersteiner is an Associate Fellow at Bright Blue.

Views expressed in this article are those of the author, and not necessarily those of Bright Blue. 

Isabella Wallersteiner: Why British Conservatives Should Back Haley

By Centre Write, Economy & Finance, Foreign, Isabella Wallersteiner, Law & Justice, Politics

America is arguably facing its greatest peril since the Civil War. In the face of escalating tensions and provocations from Iranian-backed groups, the need for strong and decisive leadership is more critical than ever and underscores the urgency of having a president with the strategic acumen and firm resolve that the 2024 Republican Party presidential primaries candidate Nikki Haley embodies.

The joint operation between British and U.S. forces to neutralise the Houthi threat in the Red Sea earlier this week is just the latest example of the growing international crises the U.S. and her allies are being confronted with. Trade tensions, electoral interference, technological warfare, human rights concerns, regional disputes in the South China Sea and war in Eastern Europe and the Middle East all pose significant challenges. In the intricate web of international relations, the choice of the United States’ next president holds significant implications for Britain and her allies across the globe. As we navigate this complex geopolitical landscape, the prospect of Nikki Haley assuming the U.S. presidency emerges as an opportunity for strengthened transatlantic ties and shared values.

During the Republican leadership race, the former Governor of South Carolina, Nikki Haley, has consistently emphasised the importance of strong alliances. Haley has stood out amongst other candidates for her unwavering support for Israel and Ukraine, branding President Biden for weakness that has invited aggression from adversaries. ‘Anti-woke’ tech bro Vivek Ramaswamy has shown himself to be a full-throated isolationist, while Ron DeSantis has proven to be an unreliable equivocator — especially on Ukraine.

Against a background of growing geopolitical tensions, particularly in the Middle East, Haley’s robust stance has increasingly won her plaudits from the Republican establishment and moderate swing voters. This has pushed her into second place in the New Hampshire and South Carolina primaries, and within striking distance in Iowa. Haley has been boosted by DeSantis’s flagging campaign; whilst DeSantis was once seen as the most serious threat to Trump, he has struggled to keep momentum and has not had a breakout performance during debates. Polling also now shows Haley leading Biden in head-to-head matchups.

Haley’s late surge should be welcomed on these shores. During her tenure as the U.S. Ambassador to the UN, Nikki Haley worked closely with representatives from the UK to address global challenges and threats. Haley, in coordination with her UK counterparts, worked within the UN Security Council to address and respond to instances of chemical weapons attacks in Syria. This included efforts to hold those responsible accountable and push for the enforcement of international norms against the use of chemical weapons.

Haley’s diplomatic track record shows a commitment to strengthening relationships with some of our key allies currently under attack such as Israel and Ukraine. In her role as the UN Ambassador, Haley passionately championed Israel’s cause within a forum where it regularly faces unjust vilification for its handling of Palestinian issues. Haley eagerly supported Trump’s diplomatic generosity toward Israel and characterised her role as reversing the trend of “Israel-bashing” at the UN. Haley also took a tough position on Iran, declaring in 2017 that the global community should recognize the “fight against Iranian aggression as a collective endeavour.” With Israel facing grave challenges to its very existence, having a leader who understands the importance of supporting the only Jewish nation is essential.

The UK has been one of Kyiv’s staunchest supporters since Russia’s invasion and, on a visit to Ukraine this week, Prime Minister Rishi Sunak said that the UK would boost its support for Ukraine in the next financial year to £2.5bn — an uplift of £200 million on the previous two years. 

During her maiden address to a session of the UN security council in 2017, Haley said: “The United States continues to condemn and call for an immediate end to the Russian occupation of Crimea.” This was in stark contrast to the tone taken by President Trump who consistently praised Vladimir Putin. Much like the leadership of the UK, Nikki Haley has long argued that helping Ukraine defend itself from Russian aggression is in the US national interest.

Both Trump and DeSantis have continued to voice more ambiguous positions on Russia’s illegal invasion, even though a partitioned Ukraine would create permanent instability in Europe, with frequent border incursions. It is in British interests that the United States maintains its course on Ukraine and only Nikki Haley appears to be up to the challenge.

Finally, as China adopts a more assertive and hawkish approach, having a leader who can skilfully manage the U.S.-China relationship is crucial. Nikki Haley has been vocal about the need to confront China’s expansionist policies and has advocated for a robust response to safeguard the West’s interests. In her February 2024 announcement kicking off her presidential campaign, Haley issued a potent condemnation of China, characterising it as the “strongest and most disciplined enemy” ever faced by the United States. “China’s dictators want to cover the world in communist tyranny. We are the only ones who can stop them,” Haley said.

China’s growing international stature is by far the most significant geopolitical threat in the world today, with major implications for British interests. Taiwan’s election on January 13 to elect a new president and parliament looks likely to be another potential flash point amid increasing tensions between the self-governing island and China, which has ramped up its military presence in the Taiwan Strait and the South China Sea in recent years. Haley’s robust approach to handling China, coupled with her diplomatic skills, positions her as a leader capable of managing such high-stakes conditions.

Just as Margaret Thatcher’s strong leadership during the Cold War and Falklands War showcased her ability to navigate complex geopolitical challenges, both Haley’s tenure at the United Nations and her performances during the Republican leadership race have demonstrated her diplomatic finesse and commitment to promoting democratic values on the global stage. Her commitment to counter-terrorism, support for allies and proven leadership in crisis situations position her as a leader capable of steering the United States through the challenges of an increasingly unpredictable world.

Thatcher made history as the first female Prime Minister of the United Kingdom. Nikki Haley, as the first female governor of South Carolina and later as the US Ambassador to the UN, has already broken glass ceilings in her own right. The day a woman shatters the ultimate glass ceiling of the American Presidency will mark a transformative moment in the history of American democracy. The geopolitical situation demands that day is now.

Isabella Wallersteiner is an Associate Fellow at Bright Blue.

Views expressed in this article are those of the author, and not necessarily those of Bright Blue. 

Thomas Nurcombe: Abolishing inheritance tax would consign the Conservatives to the political wilderness

By Centre Write, Foreign, Politics, Thomas Nurcombe

If you jumped back in time to January 2023, when the Tories were a mere 17 points behind in the polls, you would undoubtedly have heard, “Oh, but the polls will tighten before the election.” Twelve months on and we are facing an election year. The Conservatives’ position has not changed and the Party needs eye-catching ideas. But still, suggestions are being thrown up that offer little to the majority of the electorate.

The position of the Tories among young voters should be cause for serious concern. Without trying to appeal to this group, the route back to power after an election defeat is significantly hindered. It might be cliché to say, but young people really are the future. According to the latest YouGov polling, fewer than 10% of 24-49-year-olds are planning to vote for the Conservatives and only 4% of 18-24-year-olds will be doing the same. For the least affluent, only 14% are looking to vote for the Tories in the next election. 

It is not rhetoric that will change the voting behaviour of these demographic groups, but active policy solutions that improve their condition. Many graduates are facing a marginal tax of 55% before they get a chance to spend or save. How can we expect them to get on the housing ladder, establish businesses, save money and start families if the monetary means are not present? Meanwhile, just over a third of UK adults have less than £1,000 saved and two-thirds believe they would not last three months without borrowing money. 

Instead of prioritising the least affluent groups in our society, the Government appears to be looking in the opposite direction, to localise wealth and opportunities in the hands of those who already have it. Indeed, the Telegraph has recently reported that in the 2024 Budget, plans are being drawn up to end inheritance tax. 

Those from the bottom fifth of the wealth distribution born in the 1980s will only get up to a 5% boost to their lifetime incomes through inheritances. However, for the wealthiest fifth, inheritances will increase lifetime incomes by almost 30%.

Quite often, arguments for ending inheritance tax revolve around helping younger generations to get onto the property ladder. However, the most common age that today’s young people will inherit is 61 years old. We should be encouraging those from younger generations to get on the housing ladder in their 20s and 30s, so they can reap the rewards and access wealth throughout their career, not when they are on the verge of retirement. As was rightly argued by Demos, “the best way to help is to find ways to boost their earnings.”

The Government should be focusing attention and resources on building up wealth for those with little or none of it, rather than giving a tax cut to those already with plenty. This would not only be the right thing to do but also avoid further alienating future voters. Indeed, the public supports the idea of cutting taxes on work, with just shy of 50% of the UK public believing that Income Tax for those in the lowest tax bracket should be the first tax cut. 

Cutting taxes on work would be a far more just policy than the Government’s current plans to scrap inheritance tax. It would improve opportunities to save for those whose incomes are being eroded by a cost-of-living crisis outside of their control and the highest tax burden in decades. Moreover, it would open up opportunities to put money towards a house deposit, entrepreneurial endeavours and family beginnings. 

Despite an improved fiscal position over recent months, to have a meaningful reduction in taxes on work, funds would have to be replaced from somewhere. 

So where to start? We should look to close the unjust loopholes in the current inheritance tax system. Often, larger estates pay a lower effective inheritance tax rate than smaller estates. For those estates valued at £2.5 million, the average effective tax rate is 25%. Yet, estates worth £10 million pay only 17% on average. Unjust loopholes, such as the exploitation of agricultural and business property relief must be addressed.

Agricultural property relief costs the Treasury almost £500 million annually and allows landowners to pass it on without an inheritance tax charge. But this is often exploited, with investors taking advantage and buying agricultural land to obtain relief. As such, in 2017, only 40% of agricultural land was bought by farmers. 

Concurrently, business property relief, which costs over £1 billion, applies to the value of shares in a company with no family connection. Additionally, an individual could sell a business immediately after inheriting without it changing their tax position. 

Tax reliefs should not be used as a tool for the wealthy to reduce their tax bills and widen wealth inequalities. Closing them for those with no meaningful ties to a business or land would be an equitable way to share wealth and ensure better opportunities for younger generations to access and benefit from wealth. This, alongside other measures, such as narrowing the tax gap between earned and unearned income would provide a pathway to reduce the tax liabilities for younger and lower-income voters, ensuring that people are better able to enjoy the fruits of their labour.

To avoid a prolonged period in the political wilderness beyond 2024, the Conservative Government has to do something to improve its standing with younger and less affluent voters. Rather than entrenching wealth and opportunities with those who already have it, policy should seek to support the acquisition of assets and wealth for those who are not lucky enough to be born into it. Reforms to inheritance tax are needed, not its abolition.

Thomas Nurcombe is a Researcher at Bright Blue.

Views expressed in this article are those of the author, not necessarily those of Bright Blue.

Isabella Wallersteiner: ​​Generation betrayed – why it’s time for the Conservative Party to talk about Brexit

By Centre Write, Economy & Finance, Foreign, Isabella Wallersteiner, Law & Justice, Politics

​​In the cut and thrust of British politics, adaptation is not just a strategy; it is a necessity. As the Conservative Party continues to languish in the polls, averaging a twenty-point deficit to the Labour Party, there has never been a more compelling case for embracing a fresh approach on Brexit and forging a closer alliance with Europe. Only this way can the Party win back the hearts and minds of one of the country’s demographic powerhouses – the young generation.

Brexit created a seismic shock which shook the post-war consensus inaugurated by the Treaty of Rome in 1957. Many of my generation had assumed that a progressive reduction of custom duties accompanied by a single market for goods, services and labour would lead to ever greater harmonisation between Britain and Europe. As such, many younger voters, who predominantly supported remaining in the European Union, feel disconnected from a Conservative Government that championed a more radical divergence from Europe and have miserably failed to maximise any of the so-called Brexit opportunities. A failure to address this divergence has undoubtedly contributed to the Conservative Party’s struggles among the youth and can no longer be ignored.

A large poll of over 10,000 respondents carried out by Focaldata in December 2023 shows that 38% of voters say that the current Prime Minister Rishi Sunak should seek a closer relationship with the European Union, compared to only 24% who say a Conservative Government should keep the relationship the same and only 13% saying Sunak should seek a more distant relationship. This disparity is even greater amongst younger demographics. Polling involving more than 1,000 18-to-24-year-olds by Best for Britain in May 2023 showed that 58% wanted a closer relationship with the EU – almost twice as many as those who wanted things to stay as they were or become more distant. Commenting on the polling, Tom Brufatto, the Director of Policy and Research at Best for Britain, said that, “young people are more likely to see Brexit as having caused more problems than it has fixed.”

As we move beyond the fourth anniversary of Brexit, demands for a rapprochement will only grow louder and a Conservative Government will receive little political benefit in antagonistic relations with the EU.

A whole generation of young people who were not able to vote in the 2016 referendum want a better relationship with the EU and all the economic opportunities that a closer relationship would bring.

In Rishi Sunak, the Conservative Party finally has a moderate Conservative leader who can position the Conservatives as a unifying force and appeal to younger voters. By seeking a pragmatic and collaborative approach with the EU, Sunak can appeal to both those who supported Brexit and a younger generation who favoured remaining or were too young to vote at all.

Already, Sunak has made some headway in bridging this gap and, despite his Brexiteer credentials, his arrival in 10 Downing Street has undoubtedly lifted EU hopes of a long-awaited improvement in relations with the UK. On January 1st 2024, the UK officially returned to the flagship Horizon Europe science research programme with British scientists once again able to apply for grants from the £85 billion programme. The way to rejoining Horizon was already cleared in February 2023, when the Windsor framework was agreed – an issue that had bedevilled the UK’s relationship with the EU ever since Boris Johnson’s Government launched a bid to rewrite the Northern Ireland protocol in 2021.

After these modest gains, Sunak now stands at a crossroads with an opportunity to redefine the nation’s future relationship with Europe and put Britain firmly on the path towards a Swiss-style relationship with the EU. Such a move would not only make electoral and economic sense, but also contribute to a more prosperous and resilient post-Brexit Britain that a younger generation can be proud of and excited by.

A renewed focus on forging closer ties with the EU would open doors for British businesses, maximising market access – particularly in high-growth sectors, such as financial services, life sciences and green industries. Sunak’s commitment to supporting the private sector aligns with the potential benefits of a more seamless trading relationship with our European neighbours.

At the moment, the UK is experiencing the worst of all worlds, with restricted access to the EU’s markets but limited deregulation. The National Institute of Economic and Social Research (NISR) estimates that, as a result, the negative impacts of Brexit on the UK’s real GDP will gradually escalate, reaching between five and six percentage points or about £2,300 per capita by 2035.

A Swiss-style relationship would require regulatory alignment with the EU: a bitter pill for some hardline Brexiteers to swallow, but a crucial factor for industries ranging from tech to finance. For young professionals working in these sectors, this alignment would provide a stable and predictable regulatory environment, fostering innovation and supporting the growth of cutting-edge industries.

The Swiss model also allows for freedom of movement, enabling young people to travel, work and study across European nations. This freedom not only enriches personal experience but also contributes to a more globally-aware generation. For students, the Erasmus program was a symbol of educational freedom and cultural exchange. The decision to withdraw from this program is seen as a betrayal of the rich, immersive learning experience that is integral to personal development and a broader understanding of the world.

This Government’s commitment to future generations can be further realised through a strategic approach to the UK’s relationship with the EU. By fostering economic stability and growth, Sunak can contribute to a legacy of financial security for the next generation, addressing the concerns and aspirations of young voters.

Conservatism, at its core, values economic stability and growth. A closer relationship with Europe is not a surrender of our sovereignty but a pragmatic move to bolster our economic standing. By fostering stronger economic ties, we open avenues for job creation, business expansion and enhanced opportunities for the young professionals navigating the complexities of the modern job market.

In essence, this is not a call for a complete about-face, but a strategic evolution that aligns conservatism with the aspirations of the future leaders of our nation; a call to move beyond the shallow and sterile Brexit debate to explore what lies beyond EU membership. The Conservative Party has an opportunity to lead the way, bridge generational divides and create a vision of the future that resonates with the energy, innovation and optimism of younger voters.

A whole generation woke up on June 24, 2016, with a painful hangover and have yet to fully recover. Brexit represented a profound betrayal of the aspirations and values they held dear: a commitment to the principles of free trade and to the rights of people to move freely between countries. It is now time for the Conservative Party to talk about Brexit and a closer realignment with Europe – not just as a political strategy but as a commitment to a brighter, more collaborative future for Britain.

Isabella Wallersteiner is an Associate Fellow at Bright Blue.

Views expressed in this article are those of the author, and not necessarily those of Bright Blue. 

Thomas Nurcombe: Chinese exploitation is rife in the Caribbean – where is Britain?

By Centre Write, Foreign, Politics, Thomas Nurcombe

The Foreign Secretary, James Cleverly MP, has been on a mission to bolster ties between Britain and the Latin American and Caribbean region, visiting Jamaica, Colombia, Chile and Brazil. After meeting Jamaican Prime Minister, Andrew Holness, the Foreign Secretary stated that “the UK and Jamaica are fighting for a better future for both our great nations.”

The relationship between the Caribbean and Britain is rooted in a complex history. It has evolved from colonialism to cooperation within the Commonwealth. Currently, Jamaica is following in the footsteps of Barbados by aiming to become a Commonwealth Republic by 2025. Despite the move away from a monarchy, Cleverly must try and show that Britain still can have a positive presence in Jamaica and the wider Caribbean.

The Caribbean is no longer a region dominated by Anglo-American influence; now, China has emerged as a significant player in the area. Several Caribbean countries, including Jamaica and Barbados, have signed up to China’s Belt and Road Initiative. Security Minister Tom Tugendhat MP has highlighted China’s use of infrastructure investment and debt diplomacy as a means of exercising control – a strategy now evident in the Caribbean.

Claims of Chinese neo-colonialism and exploitation are not unfounded. While Chinese loans have facilitated much-needed infrastructure repairs in the region, there are concealed realities that amount to exploitation. First, contracting arrangements have been structured to favour Chinese state-owned firms, placing Caribbean contractors at a disadvantage. This has led to the domination of the construction sector in Jamaica by Chinese firms, with up to 50% of the sector under their control

Second, as part of these arrangements, a significant portion of the equipment and manpower used in infrastructure projects must be sourced from China, exempt from import duties and quotas. This gives Chinese firms a cost advantage in developing infrastructure in Jamaica, while local firms still bear the burden of paying duties for imported machinery and equipment. Consequently, China enjoys an unfair advantage, leading to accusations from Jamaican trade unions of China having “near-monopolistic” control. Fundamentally, the conditions set forth in these arrangements create a cycle where the capital provided by Beijing for infrastructure projects ultimately revolves back to China, mirroring the exploitative capital accumulation seen in the past.

Another issue of concern is that of land concessions. In Sri Lanka, when the country failed to repay a loan for the Hambantota Port, China acquired a 99-year lease on the strategically significant port, raising fears of it becoming a Chinese naval facility in the future. Similar parallels can now be drawn to the situation in Jamaica, where, as repayment for a loan for a highway spanning the island, China acquired concessions on some lands in Mammee Bay in the parish of Saint Ann; concessions that exceed the value of the loan itself.

Lastly, China’s expanding economic presence in the Caribbean has had a detrimental impact on local workers. Unemployment levels in Jamaica have remained persistently high for over a decade, and China’s infrastructure loans have exacerbated the situation. Beijing imported over a thousand workers to develop the Jamaican highway, depriving Jamaicans in desperate need of work. Locals were left with only low-paid jobs, such as clean-up work. Even where work is provided, Chinese state-owned firms frequently disregard local health and safety regulations and labour standards.

Several nations see the supposed beneficial nature of no-policy-strings-attached Chinese loans. This, coupled with developing nations’ long-standing debt obligations, entices them to seek and accept loans from Beijing. However, this Trojan Horse hides China’s mercantile interests and the exploitation those involve.

In light of these concerns, James Cleverly MP must take bold and comprehensive action to ensure that the UK upholds liberal, international values and prevents Caribbean countries from falling under China’s illiberal and exploitative influence. Merely visiting capitals without substantive action is futile. Britain must establish a rival and positive economic presence in the region, offering truly beneficial loans for infrastructure development. The loan conditions should be kept to a minimum, as imposing policy prescriptions on loans, which are often met with disdain in developing nations, would only push these countries further into the arms of Beijing.

Considering that Britain does not possess similar capital resources as China, Westminster should exert pressure on multilateral lending institutions, such as the IMF and the World Bank, to reduce policy prescriptions and lower the interest rates on loans to Caribbean nations. If the West fails to provide suitable loans and investments there, we may witness more and more governments succumbing to Beijing’s influence.

Britain stands in a prime position to rebuild relations with the Commonwealth. The first step is to prevent Commonwealth Caribbean countries from being exploited by China by offering mutually beneficial loans and investments. As questions linger about Britain’s future role in the world, it should strive to be a beacon of international liberalism, providing support to those in need, promoting and safeguarding democracy, and rebuilding global institutions that prioritise liberalism, democracy and development. To achieve this, it must counter China’s exploitative presence in the Caribbean.

Thomas Nurcome is a Research Assistant at Bright Blue. Views expressed in this article are those of the author, not necessarily those of Bright Blue. [Image: Andy Carne]

Thomas Nurcombe: The IPCC’s report shows how crucial nuclear energy will be to get to net zero.

By Centre Write, Energy & Environment, Foreign, Thomas Nurcombe

The UN’s Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change’s (IPCC) nervously awaited climate report has just been released. It concludes that current attempts to mitigate climate change are failing. The world is on track to overshoot its global warming target of limiting warming to 1.5 degrees over pre-industrial levels, as agreed in the 2015 Paris Agreement. Having already warmed 1.1 degrees since pre-industrial levels, the IPCC estimates that we are on track to exceed 2 degrees of warming by 2100.

Alarmingly, in 2019, atmospheric CO2 concentrations were higher than at any time in at least two million years, largely due to fossil fuel consumption. Widespread and rapid changes are affecting weather systems and causing climate extremes across the world, resulting in losses to biodiversity and life.

The IPCC effectively dictates that, if climate mitigation measures are not undertaken imminently and if countries do not bring forward their net zero plans by a decade, global temperature rises will be catastrophic.

The UK Government’s response is that despite being a world leader in pursuing net zero, our country must still go “further and faster.”

This latest IPCC report and its fatal findings should make the following clear for all sceptics: net zero must be achieved, and it must be achieved as quickly as possible.

Net zero targets rely on transitioning from fossil fuel to zero-carbon energy sources such as wind and solar energy. But, as the Chancellor pointed out in the Budget, “because the wind doesn’t always blow and the sun doesn’t always shine, we will need another critical source of cheap and reliable energy. And that is nuclear.”

Like renewables, nuclear energy emits negligible levels of CO2. In the United States, for example, nuclear energy is the largest source of clean power, generating nearly 800 billion kilowatt hours of electricity each year – enough to power over half of US homes – and producing over half of the nation’s emission-free electricity. Additionally, more than 470 million metric tons of carbon are avoided in the US annually by using nuclear energy, representing the equivalent of removing 100 million cars from the road.

Similarly, France can generate over 70% of its power through nuclear energy. In 2020, Ukraine generated 51% of its electricity from nuclear energy, Sweden 29.8% and South Korea 29.6%. But the UK fell far behind with only 14.5%. Britain remains dependent on non-renewables, with natural gas typically accounting for 40% of British energy – a shameful statistic for the self-proclaimed leader of the green industrial revolution.

Currently, most of Britain’s nuclear power sites are at the end of their life. However, the Government is aiming to deliver eight more reactors by 2030. Hinkley Point C in Somerset is now under construction and Sizewell C in Suffolk has the go-ahead. These two facilities alone are forecast to be able to power 12 million homes in the UK.

Yet, constructing large nuclear power plants is a lengthy process and these two sites will not be ready for several years.

This, however, does not put an end to our nuclear aspirations. Alongside the construction of new large nuclear plants, the Government intends to fund the development of Small Modular Reactors (SMRs) which work in the same way as large reactors but are smaller and quicker to construct. A typical SMR has the ability to power 400,000 homes.

Theoretically, SMRs pose a strong strategy for shorter-term nuclear energy provisions while the larger stations are in construction. Following Sizewell C’s and Hinkley Point C’s construction, SMRs and large plants can be used alongside each other in a way that can exceed the Government’s target of 25% of electricity generated by nuclear power by 2050.

Unfortunately, the IPCC sees the lack of private sector engagement and finance as preventing climate change mitigation and adaptation. The Chancellor seems to share such concerns. So, to encourage private sector investment, nuclear power will be reclassified as environmentally sustainable by the Green Technical Advisory Group which oversees the UK Green Taxonomy, subject to consultation.

With investors more inclined to look for sustainable investments under their Environmental, Social and Governance (ESG) frameworks, defining nuclear energy as environmentally sustainable should help direct private investment towards it.

By scaling up our nuclear energy programme and ensuring that it gets the level of funding it requires, Britain can continue its leading role in the global fight against climate change. IPCC scientists must surely get some relief that Britain is looking to decisively scale back our use of non-renewables in favour of this sustainable alternative.

Thomas Nurcombe is a Research Assistant at Bright Blue. Views expressed in this article are those of the author, not necessarily those of Bright Blue. [Image: Lukáš Lehotský]

Roni Greenfield: The Government’s Immigration Bill is not enough to stop the small boats

By Centre Write, Foreign, Human Rights & Discrimination, Immigration & Integration, Law & Justice

On the 7th of March, Prime Minister Rishi Sunak announced, in a bid to deliver one of his five pledges, new laws designed to curb illegal immigration. Sunak’s plan was simple and almost entirely based on deterrence. Standing behind a lectern with the words “stop the boats’, he insisted that those who come to the country illegally will be detained and swiftly removed. “Once this happens – he continued …the boats will stop”

Now, under this new legislation, those arriving in the UK illegally will not be eligible to claim asylum and will be barred for life from settling in the country. Arguably, these proposals focus disproportionately on disincentivising illegal crossings, rather than providing viable, safe and legal alternatives.

These policies have largely been developed as a response to public concern about the worsening illegal migration crisis, with tackling illegal boat crossings ranking consistently high on the list of voters’ priorities, particularly for Conservative voters. This largely correlates to the fact that the number of people entering the UK illegally in small boats has more than quadrupled in the last two years, reaching over 45,000 in 2022. 

In his speech, the PM emphasised a division between these ‘illegal’ migrants and those who use legal routes. However, his speech did not acknowledge that the UK lacks safe and legal routes for those not covered by existing resettlement schemes. There is no specific visa for asylum seekers, and coming into the country without a visa constitutes an offence under the Nationalities and Border Act 2022.  Moreover, there are no provisions in place to claim asylum from outside the UK either. As a result, the only way one may claim asylum in the UK is by using illegal, and often dangerous, routes. Therefore, if we want migrants to come to the UK through safe and legal routes, then we need to create them. 

The Government has previously been urged to introduce a “humanitarian visa” for asylum seekers, a system that has also been employed in France. Under this proposal, those at risk of persecution in their home country, or country of residence would be eligible to apply for an asylum visa to come to the UK legally, and apply for asylum here.

This, however, does not represent a proper solution to the problem. Firstly, officials would be required to process an application based on the likelihood of the success of an asylum claim of the visa applicant. This would add another layer to an already complicated procedure, requiring asylum seekers to effectively apply twice – once for the visa, and once when they have arrived in the UK. Additionally, those whose visa application is rejected may still attempt to reach the UK illegally, using dangerous routes to apply for asylum on British soil. Thus, this proposal may likely reduce the number of those crossing the channel somewhat but would be a tactical rather than a strategic solution. 

Instead, changing the law to allow asylum applications from outside of the UK in their entirety would be a more pragmatic response. Under this process, applications could be set up online and would be accessible from anywhere in the world. While concerns have been raised that making asylum applications accessible universally could overwhelm the processing system,  this can be mitigated by limiting the territories from which asylum can be claimed remotely, for example to Belgium and France. 

This policy should be implemented in combination with an expansion of the UK’s processing capacity and, therefore, substantive additional funding. This would not be unprecedented – Germany rapidly expanded its processing capacity during the 2015 Migrant Crisis and in 2022 processed almost 4 times as many claims as Britain did.

Additionally, funding for programs dedicated to preventative measures can likely be re-directed away from reactive policies if the number of illegal crossings drops substantially as a result of the implementation of legal routes. For example, the UK has committed to paying France £480 million over 3 years to tackle small boat crossings through the use of enhanced patrols, drones, and a detention centre – reducing the number of attempts by creating alternative legal routes would allow to re-allocate a proportion of this funding over the next decade.

Introducing provisions for processing asylum claims from outside the UK would also allow the government to save money on housing current applicants and help to finally clear the growing backlog of unresolved cases. The UK currently spends over 6 million pounds a day on housing for refugees – a number that can be greatly reduced if more applications are processed outside of the country. 

Additionally, joint physical processing centres that would be located in France have been proposed as another possible solution. Moreover, French officials have indicated a willingness to consider opening these centres for processing asylum requests in northern France and around the major ports on France’s coast. These would allow British officials to process claims on French soil, reducing the incentives for prospective claimants to attempt an illegal and dangerous crossing of the Channel.

Measures announced in Sunak’s Illegal Immigration Bill may well be a core element of a wider strategy to combat illegal migration but, in isolation, are not enough. Only the introduction of sufficient safe and legal means by which prospective seekers can apply for asylum will make a meaningful contribution to reducing the number of illegal crossing attempts and ultimately, tragic deaths in the channel.

Roni Greenfield is doing work experience at Bright Blue. Views expressed in this article are those of the author, not necessarily those of Bright Blue. [Image: Alan Austin]